Euro & Global Debt Contagion Concerns Mount

Europe's debt crisis has seen gold prices climb to new record highs in euros and British pounds at EUR1,087.80/oz and lb944.93/oz respectively. Contagion concerns are mounting due to the failure of the ECB, the IMF and respective governments to tackle the sovereign debt crisis.

The scale of the debt crisis effecting Greece, Ireland, Italy, Belgium, Portugal and Spain is leading to growing concerns of a knock on deleterious impact on European banks and the global banking system.

The real risk of contagion will likely lead to increasing safe haven demand for gold.

Gold should also be supported today by the OECD's warning regarding the US and Japan's very poor fiscal situations and their lack of credible plans to tackle high and spiraling budget deficits.

Gold has broken out in euros and pounds and this strength is likely to again be seen in dollar terms with the record nominal high of $1,577.77 likely to be challenged again.

Cross Currency Rates

There is good support at $1,460/oz (see chart below) with strong physical demand seen internationally.

Gold Bullion in US Dollars - 30 Days (Tick)

Gold in dollar terms is challenging resistance at $1,527/oz and a break out close above this level could see a quick move to challenge resistance at the record nominal high of $1,577.57/oz and the psychological level of $1,600/oz.

Long term the real record high of $2,400/oz from 1980 remains likely to be achieved.

Gold bears and gold bubble callers' predictions of falling gold prices are again likely to be proved badly wrong. Rather than continually attempting to predict the future and predict the top of the market they would better serve their readers by properly analyzing the real fundamentals driving the market and informing people of the importance of having at least some allocation to gold - especially from a financial insurance and diversification point of view.

Gold Bullion in US Dollars - 20 Days (Tick)


Gold is trading at $1,526.40/oz, EUR1,085.48/oz and lb941.35oz.


Silver's fundamentals remain even stronger than gold's and the recent paper driven sell off due to a series of margin calls and heavy selling on the Comex appears to be over.

Silver has support at the recent low of $32.31/oz. There are continuing calls by knowledgeable silver analysts for silver to rise above $100/oz which suggests that silver may rise above its nominal high of $50/oz sooner than the silver cynics expect.

Silver Bullion in US Dollars - 10 Days (Tick)

Silver is trading at $37.15/oz, EUR26.42/oz and lb22.91/oz.

Platinum Group Metals

Platinum is trading at $1,767.25oz, palladium at $740/oz and rhodium at $1875/oz.


(Reuters) - Gold off 3-week high, euro-priced bullion hits record

(Bloomberg) - Gold Declines as Advance to Three-Week High Prompts


(King World News) - Silver's tightness could take it to $125, Embry tells King World News

(Barrons) - Gold, Silver Find A Perfect Storm

(Financial Times) - In defence of gloomy columnists

(The Daily Reckoning) - Silver...Still Precious

(SilverSeek) - Silver More Explosive than Gold

Mark O'Byrne is executive director of Ireland-based GoldCore.

About the Author
Mark O'Byrne

Mark O'Byrne is executive director of Ireland-based GoldCore.

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