Comex default may lead to $50,000/oz gold prices, Sinclair says

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,326.75, EUR 1,007.10 and GBP 864.84 per ounce.  Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,313.75, EUR 998.21 and GBP 859.22 per ounce.

Gold climbed $39.30 or 3.04% yesterday and closed at $1,333.70/oz. 

Silver surged $0.97 or 4.98% and closed at $20.46.


Gold Prices/Fixes/Rates/Vols - (Bloomberg)

Gold surged over 3% yesterday due to what appears to be have been significant short covering due to concerns about gold backwardation and the continual haemorrhaging of gold inventories from the COMEX.

Concerns about a default on the COMEX, once the preserve of a few observant market watchers, are becoming more widespread as we appear to be witnessing a run on the highly leveraged bullion banking system.

Very robust physical demand from the Middle East, Asia and particularly China and a decline in the dollar also helped prices log their biggest one-day gain in over a year and their first close above $1,300 an ounce in nearly five weeks.

Gains in silver futures, meanwhile, outpaced gold’s rise, with silver surging 5%.

Gold may have been higher also due to the weak U.S. dollar, which is under pressure from poor U.S. home sales and comments from Bill Gross, PIMCO co-chief investment officer, who said he expected the Fed won't tighten policy before 2016. 

Gold has recovered nearly $150 or more than 12% in less than a month since hitting a three-year low of $1,180/oz on June 28. Gold has made the strong gains due to robust physical demand as seen in the still high premiums in Asia.

Respected investor and precious metals guru, Jim Sinclair has again warned of a risk of a default on the COMEX and said that gold prices will rise to $3,500/oz and that gold at $50,000/oz is “not out of the question.” 

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