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On Friday, crude oil lost 1.65% as a stronger U.S. dollar and news that Saudi Arabia lowered the price of oil for buyers in the U.S. and Asia continued to weight. As a result, light crude moved lower for the fourth time in a row and closed the week at its lowest level since mid-Jul 2009.
On Friday, the Labor Department showed that the U.S. economy added 321,000 jobs in the previous month, beating analysts’ expectations for jobs growth of 225,000. Additionally, the U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.8% last month. These stronger-than-expected numbers pushed the USD Index to a fresh multi-year high of 89.49, making crude oil less attractive in dollar-denominated exchanges, especially among investors holding other currencies.
On top of that, news that Saudi Arabia lowered the price of oil for buyers in the U.S. and Asia continued to weight, which helped soften the price of crude oil. In this environment, light crude dropped once again, approaching the support zone. Time for rebound or new lows? (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Looking at the above charts, we see that crude oil moved lower for the fourth time in a row and closed the week at its lowest level since mid-Jul 2009. In our opinion, this suggests that we’ll see further deterioration in the coming day and a test of the strength of the recent low and the solid support zone (created by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the Aug and Sep 2009 lows). If this area holds, we could see a post double-bottom rally.