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By J.W. Jones |
June 14, 2013
The Federal Reserve is performing a gigantic experiment in real time while admitting their economic models do not accurately portray outcomes in the future. Nowhere can this be seen more than in recent price action in gold and oil.
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By J.W. Jones |
May 23, 2013
Instead of trying to determine how or when the Federal Reserve will taper or end their monetary experiment, we wanted to juxtapose statements that were made today with the actual facts. Readers can draw their own conclusions.
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By J.W. Jones |
May 13, 2013
If the Federal Reserve continues to print money at this pace, what will ultimately stop them dead in their tracks? The short answer is energy prices.
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By J.W. Jones |
February 6, 2013
One of the most interesting aspects of options is the myriad opportunities presented for high probability trades for those who understand the details of option behavior.
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By J.W. Jones |
January 10, 2013
The VIX is at multi-month lows, and perusal of long term charts confirm this value is at multi-year lows. Given this situation, the probability of a move upwards toward its recent mean is overwhelmingly high.
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By J.W. Jones |
December 10, 2012
Most economists believe that if we do go over the fiscal cliff and taxes go up for everyone that the US economy will be in recession within six to nine months. Clearlythe volatility term structure likely agrees with the economists assessments
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By J.W. Jones |
November 26, 2012
There is never an absence of negative news or potentially poor economic possibilities. This is not to say that markets cannot decline, investors just need to understand that markets are cyclical in nature and do not ever move in a straight line.
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By Chris Vermeulen, J.W. Jones |
August 21, 2012
Price is never wrong, and eventually I suspect that price will tell us what we wish to know. For now, I am going into the next few weeks with caution regarding the upside in risk assets. However, it is important to point out that I am not looking to get...
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By Chris Vermeulen, J.W. Jones |
July 31, 2012
There is only one certainty should any portion of the scenario discussed come to fruition: When the dollar is inevitably broken the only safe place to hide during the potential currency crash will be in physical gold and silver.
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By Chris Vermeulen, J.W. Jones |
July 5, 2012
Friday's strong move to the upside caught a lot of traders on the wrong side of the market. Regardless of whether financial pundits refer to it as a short-queeze or simply panic level buying is largely irrelevant.
