We have been writing market forecasts at Futures and now Modern Trader magazine for decades. Anyone can provide a market outlook or opinion, so the test I always used was the logic behind someone’s forecast. It could be fundamental or it could be technical, but it had to make sense, there had to be logic behind it.
The single most significant market trend of the last two years was U.S. dollar strength. The trend will persist and even accelerate in 2016. Intentionally or not, central bank policies will allow nothing else.
Using the information from SEC-required 13F disclosures has proven to be an effective way to access world-class investors’ stock-picking prowess without the expense of investing directly in hedge funds.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Nov. 24, 2015, unanimously approved a series of rules to “enhance the regulatory regime for algorithmic order origination and electronic trade execution on U.S.-designated contract markets (DCMs).”