The rebounding U.S. dollar, rising government bond yields and the still-buoyant stock markets are helping to generate significant headwinds for gold. The shiny metal is priced in U.S. dollars and with the greenback rising, this is the main reason behind today’s sell-off. On top of this, the rising government bond yields further reduce the appeal of the noninterest-bearing commodity, while the rebounding European stock markets makes the safe haven asset even less appealing. So, for gold to come back, it needs the dollar, stocks and/or yields to head back south.
Making collusion great again. The OPEC says that its recent move to cut oil production had nothing to do with greed, but they acted with a “noble goal” of rescuing the global oil market. These comments came from the UAE energy minister Suhail Al Mazrouei, who said it’s not about raising prices it is about the noble endeavor of working to reduce oversupply. Well, in a way he does have a point.
The British pound's abrupt and aggressive depreciation following disappointing UK inflation data continues to highlight how sensitive the currency is to monetary policy speculation. The UK headline inflation rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.5% in March, which immediately raised doubts over the Bank of England raising interest rates next month. With UK wage growth rising faster than inflation, the squeeze on consumers is slowly coming to an end.
Buy the rumor and sell the fact. Many traders thought the run-up on crude oil was based only on the potential of an attack on Syria and fears that it would spin out of control. Yet, the run-up in oil has been about a lot more than just Syria; it's also about falling supply, rising demand and other geopolitical risk factors.