Gold bulls were offered a temporary lifeline in the form of dollar weakness on Tuesday with prices rebounding toward $1,226 per oz. as of writing. While the yellow metal has scope to venture higher in the near term if the dollar continues to soften, the medium-to-longer term outlook remains tilted to the downside.
Yesterday in my silver report, I highlighted several reasons why precious metals could rebound. What I hadn’t expected was those comments from U.S. President Donald Trump, which weighed on the dollar and underpinned buck-denominated precious metals.
The U.S. dollar has resumed its rally after starting the first week of July on the back foot when it was hit by profit-taking following a three-month winning streak. Now that the Dollar Index has turned positive on the month could it finish the month of July higher, too? Investors have been piling in on the dollar because of higher interest rates in the United States and expectations that monetary conditions will tighten further in the coming months.
U.S. benchmarks are extending gains for a fourth consecutive day and the S&P traded to the highest level since March 13th. The overnight high of 2797.75 took out the June 13 high of 2796. What trade war? Of course, at these levels markets are not pricing in the risk of an escalating trade war.