Crude oil prices soared after we are seeing the reduced risk of a trade war but increasing risk of heating up the real war in Syria. After conciliatory remarks by Chinese President Xi Jinping promising to announce plans to open China's economy, including lowering tariffs for cars and enforcing the legal intellectual property and technology transfers of foreign firms in the country.
More folks are joining the call for $80 a barrel of oil in the new year, a level I had previously predicted would happen, assuming OPEC and Non-OPEC would keep their production cuts in place. Now with news coming out of the World Economic Forum, in Davos Switzerland, there is a lot of things happening that bolsters that case.
Business and users of crude oil that did not buy into the lower for longer talk are giving thanks this Thanksgiving for having hedged their oil, gasoline and diesel purchases. Suddenly, the oil glut that many had predicted would last forever has suddenly turned into a very tight market.
There is a temptation to attribute the recent rise in oil prices to just the uncertainty of the political purge that we have seen in Saudi Arabia, but if you think that you are missing the larger point.
It seems the move by Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to arrest members of the royal family and their business associates in a corruption crackdown is proving to be wildly popular among the Saudis young population.