In our regular gold trading alerts, we focus on the short- and medium-term outlook and we rarely discuss the very long-term issues or price targets. The reason is simple – the long-term issues and price targets don’t change often, so usually, there’s little new to say about them. Consequently, it’s been a long time since we last discussed our view on gold’s explosive upside potential. In fact, it’s been so long that those who do not take the time to read our analyses thoroughly and those who have been reading them for only a short while may think that we are bearish on gold in the long run. Or that we’re perma-bears.
After a rough start to the week, Asian stocks seem to have found some support as the Turkish Lira steadied below 7 per dollar. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.8% with all sectors in green territory as the Yen gave up some of yesterday’s gains. Australia’s ASX 200 and the Korean KOSPI also edged higher but gains were limited.
Global equity bulls were lingering in the vicinity during Tuesday’s trading session as investors diverted some attention from trade war concerns to focus on strong U.S corporate earnings. Asian stock markets have ventured higher following the robust earnings-led gains on Wall Street overnight.
There are no two ways about it: 2018 has been an absolutely brutal year for gold bulls. The yellow metal came into the year with some impressive momentum, rallying from around $1240 in mid-December to hit a peak above $1,360 per oz. by late January, but the proverbial “wheels have fallen off” since then.
After minor overnight volatility, U.S, European, Japanese and Hong Kong benchmarks are near unchanged but those from China are deeply in the red. The German DAX took a sweeping hit after a big miss on Factory Orders this morning but has regained positive; Euro weakness is supportive. In an editorial in its state-run newspaper to start the week, China directed sharp comments at President Trump, doubling up on calling him a bully and saying that it is in their best interest to sacrifice the short-term term economics for the larger and longer-term picture.